February improved construction machinery industry expectations

2023-03-06 08:56

Recently, January construction machinery sales snapshot of the main products, 11 major products, only lifting work platforms to achieve 15.3% year-on-year growth, sales of other products have declined. Among them, excavator sales of 10,443 units, down 33% year-on-year.

　　With the infrastructure start rate since February to improve the chain, CME estimates that February excavator (including exports) sales of 22,000 units, down about 10% year-on-year, the decline narrowed.

　　Combined with the information recently disclosed by the China Construction Machinery Industry Association, January this year by the holidays, the epidemic and the implementation of the National Phase IV emission standards in December and other factors, January construction machinery sales of major products is relatively low, from the first half of February data to see some improvement. Overall, it is expected that this year's domestic construction machinery market demand will be better than 2022, of which the first quarter of this year is expected to still face some pressure, but over time the pressure will gradually ease, the construction machinery industry is expected to achieve effective improvement in quality and reasonable growth in quantity. Although exports will be tested due to the base and the increase in overseas economic downward pressure, but exports are still expected to remain at a high level.

　　CCTV financial "excavator index" shows that in January this year, China's multi-province equipment start rate, the average working hours, the average amount of work to achieve year-on-year growth. All places have started the economic "competition", many major projects have started intensively, and the infrastructure has started to "accelerate the run". "From the construction site project to order machinery and equipment will have a time gap." Previously Hengli hydraulic securities department sources told the Cai Lian News Agency reporter.

　　The reporter obtained a domestic head of the host plant internal communication minutes show that because the January sales data is too poor, January-February is expected to -4% year-on-year, is expected to stabilize Q2, the whole year before the low after the high. Industry-wide, the year is expected to domestic decline of about 15%-20%, the company down single-digit, exports are expected to grow about 25%, the company is expected to grow 60%, the leading companies this year's goal is to maintain positive growth overall.

　　According to industry practice, by the spring start and other factors, March-May for construction machinery sales season. Cai Lian News Agency reporter learned from LiuGong as an investor that the Spring Festival holiday in January this year is early and the data is not comparable with the same period last year. At present, the rhythm of the start of construction around the significantly earlier than in previous years, although the latest sales data has not yet been counted, but individuals expect that after February, with the mining, infrastructure projects to drive product sales recovery, sales data will be good, March peak season data may be the trend of the industry this year.

　　"Currently, domestic and foreign orders ushered in double growth, marketing orders have been scheduled to March, Zoomlion construction cranes are stepping up production in each park." Zoomlion insiders said to Cai Lian News Agency reporter, this year around the project investment is increasing, the planning of the project is also more, some customers will wait for the project to win the bid before buying equipment, may have to wait until March to be able to see the supporting data appear.

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